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nitpicked

(1,528 posts)
5. 2 pm edt update
Tue Oct 28, 2025, 02:02 PM
Tuesday
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/281458.shtml

BULLETIN
Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 29A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA CROSSING WESTERN
JAMAICA...
...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON
THE ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 78.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SSW OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SW OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...899 MB...26.55 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.
(snip)

Maximum sustained winds are now near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher
gusts. Melissa is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued weakening is expected while the
center is over Jamaica. However, Melissa is expected to reach
southeastern Cuba as an extremely dangerous major hurricane, and it
will still be a strong hurricane when it moves across the
southeastern Bahamas.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195
miles (315 km).
(snip)

WIND: Catastrophic hurricane-force winds are spreading over
Jamaica within the eyewall of Melissa. Total structural failure
is likely near the path of Melissa, especially in higher elevation
areas where wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and
mountains could be up to 30 percent stronger. Do not venture out
in the eye as winds will rapidly increase within the backside of the
eyewall.
(snip)

Recommendations

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and the discussion (bolding mine) nitpicked Tuesday #1
8 am update (closing in) nitpicked Tuesday #2
11 am update (Melissa about to landfall) nitpicked Tuesday #3
12 pm edt update (landfall call not in yet) nitpicked Tuesday #4
2 pm edt update nitpicked Tuesday #5
3 pm update nitpicked Tuesday #6
4 pm update nitpicked Tuesday #7
5 pm edt update nitpicked Tuesday #8
and the discussion nitpicked Tuesday #9
8 pm update nitpicked Tuesday #10
Latest Discussions»Culture Forums»Weather Watchers»Tuesday Melissa advisorie...»Reply #5