Democratic Primaries

BidenBacker

(1,089 posts)

17. Here's a quick summary of that infamous spreadsheet I mentioned

Mon Mar 30, 2020, 06:14 PM

Mar 2020

How Accurate Was the Obama Delegate Prediction Spreadsheet?

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2008/06/how-accurate-was-obama-delegate-prediction-spreadsheet/

Turns out Plouffe got 24 outta 27 primaries right...which would make Nerdy Nate Silver turn green with envy. And he was making predictions weeks and months out, no less.

When they missed (mostly the tougher crazy caucuses) they usually were conservative and underestimated their victories...which is exactly what I want Joe's campaign to do during the GE. Don't take a damn thing for granted...plan for the worst and hope for the best.

And then crush Fuhrer Drumpf in November way worse than Obama did McCain back in '08. To be followed with 3 straight days of celebratory drinking. Hell, if Bloomberg doesn't wanna pay the guy I'll make a personal donation to help get Plouffe on board.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

DU Primaries Report, March 2020: And Then There Were Two [View all] EarlG Mar 2020 OP

When Will You Gentlemen Invoke The Mercy Rule, Sir? The Magistrate Mar 2020 #1

I don't believe we have ever had a mercy rule EarlG Mar 2020 #4

If Recollection Serves, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #7

Way off on that one, Mag BidenBacker Mar 2020 #10

It Was Indeed A Harsh Primary Contest, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #11

You were a mod here back then? BidenBacker Mar 2020 #14

It Was a Slice, Sir.... The Magistrate Mar 2020 #15

Here's a quick summary of that infamous spreadsheet I mentioned BidenBacker Mar 2020 #17

Turns out we didn't call it early in 2008 -- I managed to dig this out of our (crappy) old archives EarlG Mar 2020 #12

Thank You, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #13

Wow, my dear EarlG! Your graphs are amazing! CaliforniaPeggy Mar 2020 #2

SC MythosMaster Mar 2020 #3

I Recall A Great Deal Of Celebration, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #5

Because BidenBacker Mar 2020 #6

You mean the contest in which more than 50% of the voters were African-American? EarlG Mar 2020 #9

Thank you EarlG William769 Mar 2020 #8

Well, I don't know about mercy rules, and it ain't over til it's over. BUT, PatrickforO Mar 2020 #16

Food for thought BidenBacker Mar 2020 #18

So Would I, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #19