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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

MineralMan

(149,374 posts)
12. I think Bernie knows that he can't win.
Thu Mar 12, 2020, 09:32 AM
Mar 2020

He seems to want to press on, in hopes of having some clout at the convention, as he did in 2016. I don't think that's going to work, though, in 2020.

He's going to lose most primaries from now on massively, I believe. The voters have moved on. He is just banging his head against the ceiling that has always been there this year. It was masked by voters choosing other candidates in a multi-candidate race. Someone pointed out that 40% of the mail-in ballots in Washington state were for candidates other than Bernie and Biden. That will no longer be the case in upcoming primaries.

So, Sanders will get his 30-something percent, which is his ceiling, and Biden will get the rest. Actually, his ceiling is likely to drop below 30% if momentum holds for Joe.

How long will Sanders stick to it? I don't know. Maybe up to the beginning of the convention. I fully expect Biden to have a majority of pledged delegates by then. Further, delegates pledged to candidates no longer running may switch to Biden on the first ballot, which would make his majority even larger. I'm not quite sure what the convention rules will be for delegates pledged to withdrawn candidates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Maybe, just maybe, for some self-centered reasons, BS will get the hints empedocles Mar 2020 #1
A brick wall has fallen on Sanders...and it is almost sad to see him continuing... Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #6
it's not sad, it's pathetic. Grumpy uncle's pride is obstinate as ever. onetexan Mar 2020 #11
It really is pathetic...he should concede with dignity. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #19
Bernie is done duforsure Mar 2020 #2
He has no chance and no real leverage. His voters didn't show up. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #7
Sanders will get shutout the rest of the way. honest.abe Mar 2020 #3
It will only get worse...we need to vote in huge numbers to show Sanders the door...with every Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #8
Maybe I am overly optimistic... Happy Hoosier Mar 2020 #4
I am hoping you are right...I would think it would awful for him with these numbers which will get Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #10
I agree. beastie boy Mar 2020 #15
He looks desperate...and they should fix his makeup...it is truly awful lately...way to flushed. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #20
Biden is polling over 50% in all four states MineralMan Mar 2020 #5
It will be a sweep. I would think Sanders would spare himself such a humiliating loss. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #9
I think Bernie knows that he can't win. MineralMan Mar 2020 #12
Which raises a question.... Happy Hoosier Mar 2020 #13
I have no idea what Senator Sanders thinks when he's alone in his room. MineralMan Mar 2020 #14
I believe the revolution/movement is dead...if it ever lived...a bunch of kids getting together Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #21
I voted for Biden in Florida yesterday. This week is early voting. katmondoo Mar 2020 #16
In this case, I'm glad Florida starts early voting just before the election. MineralMan Mar 2020 #17
Florida runs early voting for 11 days and stops at the end of the Blue_true Mar 2020 #29
Good for you! Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #22
I was thinking the polls were unreliable now treestar Mar 2020 #18
Yep...and the polls last time underestimated Biden. For example, he won Washington and likely won Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #23
The virus really turned the tide. ucrdem Mar 2020 #24
Short Video of Sanders' Headquarters in Various States Denis Enko Mar 2020 #25
Message to Sanders...let's not meet again ever! Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #26
Florida will be interesting Gothmog Mar 2020 #27
Yes it will. He will be destroyed in Florida. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #28
I also take these three polls collectively as a sign that Biden may win FL in the GE, but have more coti Mar 2020 #30
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