2016 Postmortem

Here are a list of things that effect how much your vote is worth:

1. State population
2. State voter participation
3. Margin of victory in your state

You are interested in Item #1. I'm fine with that.

I am interested in all 3 items, all of which would go away in a national popular vote scenario. Are you fine with that?

Let me throw another wrench into the notion that the ratio is dependent on census population alone. The population numbers used for allocation of house seats, and thus the electoral college count ALL people:

Citizens
Felons who have lost their civil right to vote
legal immigrants
undocumented immigrants
persons under 18

Everybody counts in the population tally, but differing demographics among states could cause a large variation in the differential between population vs eligible voters. Then, if you really want to get particular, the population distribution in 2015 is very likely different than it was in 2010, when the last census was taken. Some population numbers used up thread were 2015 numbers - not 2010 census. So if you really want to use population alone, you have to formulate a way to account for the differential in population growth among states.

So back to my original math. If I wanted to say 'A voter in WY was counted a x many voters in CA, in the 2016 election', what would be the most definitive way to do it? I think the most definitive, defensible, calculable number would be as I have done it...being very open about exactly how that number was derived.