2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: How were we supposed to reach 'Rural Whites' and still maintain our base? [View all]Igel
(36,966 posts)(R) turnout was lower than (D) turnout:
Turnout went up for Obama's first election and in response to Bush II--something to vote for, something to vote against--but down in 2012. Less to vote for. It was down in 2014 because it wasn't a presidential election.
This year, a lot of voters didn't see much to vote for. (D) voting was depressed. (R) voting was, too.
As for voting rights and disenfranchisement, the only actual decent study that's been done said more people were disenfranchised by the perception they wouldn't be able to vote than by not having the ID necessary to vote. In other words, they had the ID but had it drummed into their heads by pessimists and wrong-headed activists more out to score rhetorical points than actually enable democracy that they certainly did not have the right ID (so why bother even checking?).
It's a secular trend, with the occasional countermovement in the trend line. (Secular: of or relating to a long term of indefinite duration. Not from "seculum" meaning " this present) world," opposing Christ's "not of this world, but "seculum" meaning "age" or "century".)
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