2016 Postmortem

electors are chosen primarily based on loyalty, if not to the candidate, then at least to the party. these are not random americans.

trump has enough of a margin of electoral victory that we would need to have a *lot* of them change their votes to deny trump a majority of electoral votes. historically, i don't think there has ever been more than one or two in any given election.

finally, there's just no way these loyal republicans would hand the oval office over to clinton. best case is that they vote in pence or ryan or someone else, or abstain, or in any event just not trump. no one else can get a majority of electoral votes. so the election would be thrown into the house, who in all likelihood would just vote for trump anyway.

why? because the republicans in the house will respond to the political pressure of the rabid trump voters in their own districts and refuse to hand the election over to anyone else.


finally, let's just imagine that we do actually have a president hillary this way, somehow. republicans and the media would have a field day. congress would still be republican and would refuse to even consider anything she proposed, they would investigate and likely impeach her based on anything and everything, and the rank-and-file would be rioting in the streets until she was removed from office. if you though the crap about obama not being a legitimate president was bad, you ain't seen nothing yet if hillary gets in that way. she'd accomplish virtually nothing, be trashed as ineffective at best, and republicans would win bigly in 2018 and 2020.