2016 Postmortem

StevieM

(10,575 posts)

7. Well, I did the calculations and she is actually only up by 1.95 percent.

Tue Dec 6, 2016, 01:08 AM

Dec 2016

If she had gotten up by another half a point then that would have probably meant 1 point in the swing states, like PA, WI, MI and FL.

So I think we need to win by 2.5 points nationally in order to win.

Then again, a different Republican would have done better with Latinos. And for the record, the exit polls got the Latino numbers very wrong. It's pretty clear that HRC did much better than Obama with that group, even if only with that group.

But the damage that Trump did with Hispanics may be permanent for the GOP, just like Pete Wilson's damage was permanent in California.

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Hillary's popular vote edge hits 2.0% [View all] BzaDem Dec 2016 OP

Such is America. Uniquitous Dec 2016 #1

This officially makes Nate Silver wrong Tiggeroshii Dec 2016 #2

Well, for all we know, Clinton DID WIN the most electoral votes... Raster Dec 2016 #3

Hopefully we find out. Tiggeroshii Dec 2016 #4

Nate Silver kept writing about how HRC was more likely to lose despite winning PV BzaDem Dec 2016 #5

Well, I did the calculations and she is actually only up by 1.95 percent. StevieM Dec 2016 #7

Good point! Tiggeroshii Dec 2016 #9

Except neither Nathan Silver nor anyone else could predict pnwmom Dec 2016 #10

Excellent point. I think that we have to simply factor that in to our numbers. StevieM Dec 2016 #12

Or their ballots not mailed out? Cha Dec 2016 #13

Right -- I remember that especially in Florida. n/t pnwmom Dec 2016 #14

KnR Hekate Dec 2016 #6

Not quite yet, unless you use a rounding error.. 48.165% vs. 46.219% Coyotl Dec 2016 #8

If I ever hear the phrase "one man, one vote" in reference to America again, world wide wally Dec 2016 #11