2016 Postmortem

than almost everyone else was saying. He was the only forecaster to keep harping on the unusual high uncertainty, and how a close PV would likely indicate a Trump EC win.

I'm not familiar with him "swearing on his grave" about a two percent threshold (though I vaguely remember him mentioning that she was likely safe if she won by over 2). But the exact threshold is really not particularly interesting compared to the fact that he was the only major forecaster to talk about how this was more likely than people think. Yet when anyone cited Nate Silver here before the election, he was always attacked. Unfortunately for the country, he was right.