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2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)Digby: "Trump's pollster agrees it was the Comey effect" (Read the whole, infuriating thing.) [View all]
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/December 02, 2016
<<Digby: Trump's pollster (Fabrizio) and Clinton's pollster (Benenson) talk about the race. Trump's man says that the race came down to four counties in Florida and one in Michigan. Five counties, people.
...When you really drill down on this election, if you change the vote in five counties, four in Florida, one in Michigan, wed be having a totally opposite conversation right now, Fabrizio said of the race. For all the money that was spent, for the all the effort that was made, literally four counties in Florida, one county in Michigan puts us at 261 [electoral] votes and makes Hillary Clinton the president. So, remember that....
Digby: That is not a landslide folks. With Clinton winding up winning between 2.5 and 3 million more votes it's a lucky fluke.
...In the final week after FBI director James Comey released a vague letter saying that the agency was examining new emails found on Anthony Weiners computer, the husband of Clinton aide Huma Abedin, Benenson said that Clintons defectors just didnt come back.
Ours were coming back after the third debate, Benenson said of the Clinton defectors. We had actually solidified our lead for a period of days after that debate. Comey happens on that Friday, eleven days out, and thats when we seeour defectors leave, their defectors get loyal and that keeps moving and probably in the end tips the balance....
...But Fabrizio said they held their breath because just days later Comey cleared Clinton once again. Benenson said that second announcement did not help them either because it just put it back into the conversation again.
Digby: There are a lot of reasons why this election turned out the way it did. Both candidates were widely loathed by half of a polarized country which made it a difficult sell on both sides. They all knew it would be close and were just trying to keep people from defecting in the last week.
This is where Giuliani delivered for Trump. He was clearly working with the FBI agents in the New York office and Comey either maliciously or stupidly went with the plan. It was timed perfectly and it worked. >>
Digby is quoting and commenting on this article by Gideon Resnick:
"Donald Trumps Pollster Says the Election Came Down to Five Counties
This wasnt a landslide, Tony Fabrizio says, it was a squeakerand James Comey helped pull the Republican across the finish line.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/12/02/donald-trump-s-pollster-says-the-election-came-down-to-five-counties.html
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Digby: "Trump's pollster agrees it was the Comey effect" (Read the whole, infuriating thing.) [View all]
deurbano
Dec 2016
OP
+1, she won the PV by the amount the polls said she would also post Comey. FUCK Comey !!!
uponit7771
Dec 2016
#14
Lots of people here predicted the worst after Comey supposedly "reopened" it.
Buckeye_Democrat
Dec 2016
#6