Barack Obama is back! [View all]
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/get-ready-for-the-obama-boomlet/ar-BBgPPCP
There are three reasons. The first is that politically, Obamas immigration gamble is working. Fearful of alienating Hispanics or shutting down the government, Republican leaders have largely abandoned hope of overturning Obamas move. Whats more, Obamas approval ratings are up 15 points among Hispanics but have not dropped among Anglo whites. Add immigration to health-care reform and the fiscal stimulus and more commentators will start noticing that, whether you like Obamas agenda or not, its been the most consequential of any Democratic presidents since Lyndon Johnson.
Second, and more importantly, the economy is improving. The third quarter saw the fastest job growth in three years, and the unemployment rate is now 5.8 percent, down from 10 percent in 2009. Gas prices are also plunging. And theres evidence Americans are beginning to notice. As Time recently noted, consumer confidence has just hit its highest mark in eight years. Even if the improving economy doesnt boost Obamas approval rating, its likely to improve the way hes seen by the Beltway press. And given the role a strong economy played in buoying Bill Clintons approval ratings in the late 1990s, despite the Monica Lewinsky scandal, its quite possible that Obamas will rise too, which will further fuel the journalistic perception that Obama is back.
Finally, the context in which journalists judge Obama is about to change. This years dominant storyline was about Obama and the midterm elections. Most key Senate races took place in red and purple states where Democratic candidates distanced themselves from Obama, thus magnifying the medias perception that he was a political pariah.
Next year, however, the story wont be 2014 but 2016. And the Democratic story, in all likelihood, will be Hillary Clintons march toward her partys nomination. While Obama was certainly unpopular this fall in states like Kentucky, he remains quite popular among the liberal activists who play an outsized role in Democratic primaries. In fact, Obama retains a connection to many them that Hillary Clinton has never enjoyed.