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Wisconsin

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TheRealNorth

(9,629 posts)
Tue Apr 27, 2021, 06:11 PM Apr 2021

Are some of our assumptions about the 2020 Election in WI correct? [View all]

Specifically, I am referring to a narrative that says that increases to Trump support in rural areas was offset by increases in Biden support in the Milwaukee & Madison metropolitan areas.

The data I am looking at is from the NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/upshot/2020-election-map.html

This map allows you to see the total votes in 2020, but it also shows shifts from 2016.

The interesting thing I am seeing when I look at the shift (Change from 2016) map is that while some rural areas shifted more red (Republican), there were also a lot of areas in in northern and western WI that shifted to the Democrats, even if they overall were heavily Republican.

The other interesting thing was that there was a shift to the Republicans from within the City of Milwaukee, City of Racine, and City of Kenosha. This seems in line with the national numbers that did show a shift in Black and Hispanic support toward Trump in 2020. Do you think this was a backlash to the unrest due to George Floyd/Jacob Blake, decreases in Democratic turnout in these areas, and/or the effects of misinformation on social media? Or maybe something else I am not considering?

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