General Discussion

The WSJ article's prediction was made when the Dow was down around 6 percent for the month. But the risk in predicting an outcome more than a week before the end of the month is that things change. The Dow recovered almost 2500 points between the date of the WSJ article you cited and today. The month ended up down around 3.2 percent. Now, I can't say for certain whether the Dow had a worse April than this year during the period from 1932 until this year, but the comparison to April 1932, when the market dropped by anywhere from 23 to 37 percent -- depending on the source -- looks a bit silly. And by overstating things, it masks the more important metric: the Dow has dropped by almost 8 percent since "Day One" of the orange idiot's presidency.

Another example that illustrates why the measuring stick should be back to January 21, not merely what happened this past month. The S&P 500 dropped almost 8 percent from "day one" but less than 1 percent during April.

Apocalyptic predictions -- like the one I saw here in early April saying that the Dow would drop all the way to 10,000 by the end of the month, don't help. Focus on reality -- it's bad enough that it doesn't have to be embellished.