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marble falls

(72,664 posts)
1. MAGA level Reaganomics Stagflation is here. TACO will learn what Reagan always knew: piggies get fed ...
Sat May 30, 2026, 11:53 AM
10 hrs ago

... hogs get slaughtered at the polls.

progree

(13,089 posts)
2. Personal savings rate in April: 2.6%, down from 5.8% a year earlier - BEA.gov's report from Thursday
Sat May 30, 2026, 11:55 AM
10 hrs ago
Americans’ savings rate falls to lowest level since 2022 as inflation outpaces paychecks, CNBC, 5/29/26
. . .

The personal savings rate — defined as the share of income Americans have after taxes and expenses — hit 2.6% in April, according to data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis released on Thursday. That's down from 3.2% in March, and 5.8% a year prior.

"I thought 2.6% for April was a typo at first. It is so low," Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, said in an email. "Outside of the revenge spend era of 2022, the personal savings rate has almost never been this low in the past 65 years."

. . .

"Even with tax cuts, paychecks aren't keeping up with inflation right now," said Long. "It's more than just high gas prices. It's rising electricity, healthcare and food prices. These are the basics that people must pay. It's harder to skimp on these items."

. . .

Amid the savings crunch, many Americans are relying on credit to get by. Over a third — 37% — of Americans say they will have to use a credit card, Buy Now Pay Later or other type of loan to cover at least some of their expenses this month, a new NerdWallet survey found.

MORE:https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/americans-savings-rate-falls-to-lowest-level-since-2022-as-inflation-outpaces-paychecks/ar-AA24iAms

"the revenge spend era of 2022" is when the Covid shutdowns and restrictions were over and people got out and did catch-up spending after nearly a year of privation.

Source of the savings rate figure, and also on personal income, personal consumption expenditures, and PCE inflation:
https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-april-2026

The above link mentions the April 2.6% savings rate, but doesn't have the April figure from a year ago. The graph they show under the title, "Disposable Personal Income, Outlays, and Saving" goes back to October. The savings rate is the black line on that graph. One can see that last October it was about 4.0%, and this January, 5.0% (read the right hand side scale).

The inflation part is covered in this LBN thread:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143671624

hedda_foil

(17,048 posts)
3. That's not just "falling behind. A 13% default rate is more than twice the level that freaks out credit card execs.
Sat May 30, 2026, 12:27 PM
9 hrs ago

So how can I make that claim? In the late 80s and early 90s, my company trained credit card collectors for several of the biggest issuers, including Citibank. We were a very small company that specialized in communication skills, so we we weren't called until the companies had tried everything else.

I researched the companies' collections methods and found that the biggest problem was that the collectors had been trained to make "demand statements" ( ie., "We need you to pay $500 by tomorrow&quot and to assume the customer was always lying. So we trained the folks in how to be treat the customers as human beings, ask open ended questions, listen to the answers, and use win-win negotiating techniques. Voila! They all saw their default rates cut in half or more. So when I say that anything over 5% default levels freaks out the execs, I have some real background to say it.

Has anything changed since then? I don't know for sure, but considering the fact that whenever I charge a major purchase that brings my balance to over $2,000 instead of around $1,000, my credit rating takes a 20 point hit that doesn't fully recover for months. And I pay off my full balance due every month. The credit rating agencies basically act in tandem with the credit card companies. That leads me to believe that the credit card companies probably start to cut off credit to past-due customers even more quickly than they used to do.

The 13% figure means that most of the customers in default (generally multiple company's cards) can't make even the minimum monthly payment for a number of months. That number used to be between 3 and 4 months, with any remaining available credit suspended at 2 months past due. At the 3-4 month mark (depending on the company) the account was cancelled permanently and sent either to the company's recovery department or straight to a collections agency. I suspect that the time allowed for the customer to bring their account up to date is even less today than it was at the time.

The idea that 13% of US credit card accounts aren't just past due, but in default is horrifying. The fact that this really isn't reflected in the national economic numbers is worse.

Meanwhile, how much of the economy is now invested in AI companies and the data centers and oil companies they need to exist?

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