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Related: About this forumPotential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 1 ((heading NE towards TX/LA)) ((bolding mine))
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/161456.shtmlPotential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012026
1000 AM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED FROM
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE....
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 98.0W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SW OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM SW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
(snip)
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the northwestern
Gulf Coast from Sargent, Texas to Morgan City, Louisiana.
(snip)
The disturbance should move offshore the Texas
coast tonight or early Wednesday, move roughly parallel to the upper
Texas coast later on Wednesday and move back inland in extreme
eastern Texas or southwestern Louisiana late Wednesday or early
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The disturbance is forecast to gradually strengthen and could become
a tropical storm early on Wednesday. Weakening is anticipated on
Thursday after the system moves back on land.
(snip)
RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to produce
rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher totals around
12 inches through Thursday from the Mid to Upper Texas Coast through
much of Louisiana, central and southern portions of Mississippi and
Alabama, and the far western portion of the Florida Panhandle. This
could generate dangerous to life-threatening flash flooding.
(snip)
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Port Bolivar, TX to Morgan City, LA...2-4 ft
(snip)
SURF: Swells generated by the Potential Tropical Cyclone are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions
along the northwestern Gulf Coast for the next couple of days.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
(snip)
TORNADO: A tornado or two is possible through tonight from the
Upper Texas coast across southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama
and the Florida Panhandle.
(snip)
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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 1 ((heading NE towards TX/LA)) ((bolding mine)) (Original Post)
nitpicked
15 hrs ago
OP
SheltieLover
(82,471 posts)1. Stay safe, all!
nitpicked
(2,029 posts)2. Link to Weather Prediction Center forecasts for current tropical rainfall forecasts and excessive rainfall outlooks
nitpicked
(2,029 posts)3. Flood warnings already up for the Houston/Corpus Christi areas
mwmisses4289
(5,031 posts)4. Flood warnings went up yesterday, we have already had heavy rains.
It's only supposed to get worse over the next couple of days.
nitpicked
(2,029 posts)5. Advisory #2 (watch upgraded to warning in some areas)
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/162050.shtml
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012026
400 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
...DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA FROM POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE....
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA
COAST...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 97.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SSW OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Tropical Storm Warning is issued for the coast of Louisiana from
Sabine Pass to Morgan City.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sabine Pass to Morgan City
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Sargent to Sabine Pass
(snip)
(snip)
The disturbance should move offshore the Texas coast tonight,
move roughly parallel to the upper Texas coast on Wednesday and
move back inland in extreme eastern Texas or southwestern Louisiana
late Wednesday or early Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. The disturbance is forecast to gradually strengthen and
could become a tropical storm early on Wednesday. Weakening is
anticipated on Thursday after the system moves back over land.
(snip)
RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to produce
rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher totals near
20 inches, through Thursday from the Mid and Upper Texas coast
east-northeast into southern and central portions of Louisiana,
Mississippi, and Alabama, along with western portions of Georgia and
the Florida Panhandle. This could generate dangerous to
life-threatening flash flooding.
(snip)
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area beginning early Wednesday and within the warning area on
Wednesday morning.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Port Bolivar, TX to Morgan City, LA...2-4 ft
(snip)
SURF: Swells generated by the Potential Tropical Cyclone are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions
along the northwestern Gulf Coast for the next couple of days.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
(snip)
TORNADO: A tornado or two is possible tonight and tomorrow from the
Upper Texas coast across southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama
and the Florida Panhandle.
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone One Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012026
400 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026
...DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA FROM POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE....
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA
COAST...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 97.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SSW OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Tropical Storm Warning is issued for the coast of Louisiana from
Sabine Pass to Morgan City.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sabine Pass to Morgan City
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Sargent to Sabine Pass
(snip)
(snip)
The disturbance should move offshore the Texas coast tonight,
move roughly parallel to the upper Texas coast on Wednesday and
move back inland in extreme eastern Texas or southwestern Louisiana
late Wednesday or early Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. The disturbance is forecast to gradually strengthen and
could become a tropical storm early on Wednesday. Weakening is
anticipated on Thursday after the system moves back over land.
(snip)
RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to produce
rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher totals near
20 inches, through Thursday from the Mid and Upper Texas coast
east-northeast into southern and central portions of Louisiana,
Mississippi, and Alabama, along with western portions of Georgia and
the Florida Panhandle. This could generate dangerous to
life-threatening flash flooding.
(snip)
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area beginning early Wednesday and within the warning area on
Wednesday morning.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Port Bolivar, TX to Morgan City, LA...2-4 ft
(snip)
SURF: Swells generated by the Potential Tropical Cyclone are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions
along the northwestern Gulf Coast for the next couple of days.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
(snip)
TORNADO: A tornado or two is possible tonight and tomorrow from the
Upper Texas coast across southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama
and the Florida Panhandle.
nitpicked
(2,029 posts)6. FWIW, Corpus Christi latitude/longitude
27.8 N
97.4 W