Foreign Affairs
Related: About this forumStrait of Hormuz confusion, Iran says closed to tankers
Any hopes that the ceasefire between the US and Iran would see a quick resumption of transits of the Strait of Hormuz have been dashed.
Over 24 hours on from the announcement of the ceasefire which the US President Trump said would be conditional on the re-opening the Strait of Hormuz very little commercial shipping traffic has moved through the waterway.
Looking at AIS tracking data from Pole Star Global the few transits of the Strait that have been seen since the ceasefire took effect most of the vessels have called at Iranian ports.
Overall international traffic would appear to have reduced from a few days earlier with Windward recording 20 transits of the Strait in a 24-hour period on 5 April, the highest since the conflict started on 28 February. These were transits approved by the Iranians either with the payment of a toll through what the so-called Tehran Tollbooth or with governments, primarily in Asia, that have agreed safe passage of vessels with Irans government.
Read More: https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/security/strait-of-hormuz-confusion-iran-says-closed-to-tankers
Posted due to all the confusion concerning this situation. This article gives numbers and what I believe is a realistic view of what is and isn't moving through the strait.
Dave Bowman
(7,246 posts)Eugene
(67,126 posts)The boss of Abu Dhabis state-owned oil company has said the strait of Hormuz is not open despite the US-Iran ceasefire agreed earlier this week, as uncertainty over the truce pushed the price of Brent crude towards $100 a barrel on Thursday.
Sultan Al Jaber, the chief executive officer of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc), said passage through the crucial waterway was subject to permission, conditions and political leverage by Iran. He said energy security and global economic stability depended on the strait being opened fully, unconditionally and without restriction.
Al Jaber wrote on LinkedIn: The weaponisation of this vital waterway, in any form, cannot stand. This would set a dangerous precedent for the world undermining the principle of freedom of navigation that underpins global trade and, ultimately, the stability of the global economy.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/apr/09/oil-price-rises-as-markets-question-durability-of-middle-east-ceasefire-iran
blue-wave
(5,255 posts)what my posted article says. Not much is moving through without Iranian permission. And even then it's just a trickle.