Oil Crash: Russia's Economy Cannot Recover - Jason Jay Smart

Russia is entering a financially catastrophic phase as oil prices collapse toward thirty six dollars per barrel, shattering the foundation of the Kremlin budget and exposing the economic weakness behind its war. A petrostate that depends on high energy profits cannot sustain a long conflict when its main source of revenue is falling faster than the government can respond. Every drop in price tears a deeper hole in the financial system that funds Russia’s military machine.

The impact is visible across the entire sector. Buyers in Asia are stepping back, shipping costs are rising, insurance coverage is shrinking, and Russian crude is piling up in floating storage that drains money instead of generating it. The shadow fleet that once carried sanctioned barrels is being blacklisted and pushed out of safe ports. Russia is exporting more risk and receiving less profit with every voyage.

Inside the country, the damage multiplies. Budget data has disappeared from public release, major companies report severe profit declines, and households have withdrawn billions from the banking system. Industrial shutdowns are expanding and regional populations continue to fall. These pressures combine into a financial crisis that cuts directly into Russia’s ability to fund artillery, missiles, drones, and basic logistics.

This price crash is not a temporary setback. It is a structural break that accelerates Russia’s decline and limits the Kremlin’s capacity to project power beyond its borders.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro
01:08 - Why Russia's Oil Crash is a Game Changer
02:15 - Moscow Hit Harder Than the USSR: The $36 Barrel Budget Disaster
03:50 - China & India Pullback: Secondary Sanctions Fear Hits Russian Oil Exports
04:46 - The Collapsing Shadow Fleet: Stranded Tankers & Blacklisted Hulls
06:49 - Russian Energy Giants' Profits Plummet: Gazprom Neft Down 65%
08:05 - The Quiet Crack: Russian Industrial Base & Demographic Collapse
09:55 - Kremlin Forced Out of Europe: The Dismantling of Lukoil's Foreign Empire
11:25 - Shrinkflation & Printed Money: Quietly Robbing Everyday Russians
12:27 - The Final Blow: Why Profitable Oil is Running Out
14:55 - Outro