Russia's Plan Revealed: Fortress Poland Rising - Econ Lessons

My name is Mark Biernat, and I explain Poland’s clear security posture in the context of Russia’s long-term geopolitical vision. While popular commentary often frames Poland’s defense preparations as merely a “test” of NATO’s unity, this analysis argues that Russia’s strategic view of Poland runs much deeper. Drawing on historical parallels to Catherine the Great and the partitions of Poland, the discussion highlights how Moscow’s current leadership envisions Poland not simply as a neighbor but as a central obstacle in its imperial sphere of influence.

The video examines:

• How Russian strategic thinking situates Poland within its broader “near abroad” ambitions.

• The parallels between Catherine the Great’s treatment of Poland in the 18th century and today’s Russian narratives.

• Why Poland’s leaders are developing a “Fortress Poland” strategy—investing in military capacity and resilience—regardless of NATO’s decision-making processes.

• The limitations of NATO’s collective defense mechanism, which requires full consensus or at least abstention, leave Poland to prepare as though it must stand independently.

By situating contemporary security challenges within the longue durée of Eastern European history, this video underscores why Poland cannot afford to be naïve. Whether or not NATO acts with unanimity, Poland is positioning itself as a fortress—aware that Russia’s imperial ambitions are not new, but deeply rooted in history.