InsiderNJ: Sherrill leads Ciattarelli by 6 Points

August 4, 2025, 12:01 am

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Democrat Mikie Sherrill currently has 48% support and Republican Jack Ciattarelli has 42% support, according to a StimSight Research Poll for InsiderNJ. Another one percent of probable voters say they will definitely vote third-party, leaving nine percent who are undecided. There is still room for movement even among those currently backing one of the two major party candidates as only 32% are definite about voting for Sherrill and 31% are definite about Ciattarelli.

Affordability (53%) and taxes (43%) are the themes of this election, rising to the top of a list of 13 different issues that voters say are most important to them in choosing a candidate for governor. Among voters who name affordability as one of their top issues, Sherrill (36%) and Ciattarelli (34%) run about evenly on who can better handle it, but the Republican has an overwhelming advantage among those concerned with lowering taxes (50% to 15% for Sherrill). The Democrat has a small edge on being able to provide economic opportunities for New Jersey families (54% to 49% for the Republican).

Concern about protecting Social Security and Medicare (30%) is also important as a component of the affordability issue. Only 36% approve of the “Big Beautiful Bill” and 51% say it will hurt New Jersey families. President Trump (44%) and Governor Murphy (45%) get similar job approval ratings from Garden State voters. The blame for New Jersey’s current problems is spread across the state government (37%), the national government (27%) and both levels of government equally (34%).

“The Murphy and Trump numbers are basically a wash. That suggests voters are looking for someone they can trust to address their economic worries, and not someone who just takes swings at the leadership of the opposite party,” said Patrick Murray of StimSight Research, the firm that conducted the poll for Insider NJ.

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https://www.insidernj.com/stimsight-research-poll-for-insidernj-sherrill-leads-ciattarelli-by-6-points/