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marmar

(78,668 posts)
Sun Jul 20, 2025, 07:34 PM Sunday

Can Texas GOP steal the midterms in advance? Yes, they can


Can Texas GOP steal the midterms in advance? Yes, they can
Sorry, political wise men: "Dummymander" is not a thing — the plan to create more GOP seats will probably work

By David Daley
Contributing Writer
Published July 20, 2025 10:46AM (EDT)


(Salon) Texas Republicans have an unusual mid-decade redistricting on the agenda for a special legislative session that begins this week. It’s entirely possible that the GOP will claim anywhere between an additional two to five congressional districts for themselves, potentially ending any realistic Democratic dreams of reclaiming the House of Representatives some 15 months before a vote is cast.

There’s not much that can stop them.

John Roberts and the U.S. Supreme Court have ruled that federal courts aren’t interested in partisan gerrymandering claims. State courts certainly exist in Texas, but serve to cement egregious GOP power grabs, not prevent them. Despite California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s midnight-drunkard ramblings that his state might magically undo its gold-standard citizen redistricting commission, there aren’t many gains left for Democrats that they didn’t maximize in 2021.

In other words, it looks like the Democrats are screwed here. Being Democrats, they’ve got one last, desperate ploy remaining: Maybe they can somehow or other scare Republicans into not doing this. Here’s the theory: A new GOP-drawn map might spread Republican voters too thin, backfire and end up electing Democrats.

Um, no. Believing this might happen requires closing one’s eyes and pretending it’s still the 1990s, which, to be fair, has a certain appeal. It also requires closing one’s eyes to all the congressional elections in all of the GOP-gerrymandered states since 2012, where not a single one of the extreme gerrymander maneuvers has backfired, or even come close to backfiring, even in election cycles when Democrats win tens of thousands more votes. ...................(more)

https://www.salon.com/2025/07/20/can-texas-gop-steal-the-midterms-in-advance-yes-they-can/




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OrlandoDem2

(3,013 posts)
1. We MUST take the House in 2026 at all costs. Yes at all costs!
Sun Jul 20, 2025, 07:43 PM
Sunday

Even if it means a Blue state, or two, or three does a mid-decade map redraw. We must not allow Governor Hot Wheels to hand more power to the American Nazi Party!

walkingman

(9,576 posts)
2. They can and they will. These folks are corrupt at their core and nothing is too much for them.
Sun Jul 20, 2025, 07:46 PM
Sunday

Lonestarblue

(12,811 posts)
3. I hope Newsom and Democrats redistrict California to negate the Texas numbers.
Sun Jul 20, 2025, 07:47 PM
Sunday

Every other Democratic state should do the same to counter this blatant attempt to deny Democrats representation in the House.

Tribetime

(6,730 posts)
4. Give Newsome said he would look into redistricting in California
Sun Jul 20, 2025, 09:52 PM
Sunday

If this happened he felt the need to save democracy

Igel

(36,981 posts)
5. Thinking it has to go through a committee ...
Sun Jul 20, 2025, 11:16 PM
Sunday

That was put in place by voters. Committee members should follow the legislative language as to their purpose, whatever that is.

lees1975

(6,695 posts)
6. The constitution prohibits gerrymandering.
Mon Jul 21, 2025, 08:36 AM
Yesterday

So how is it that the Supreme Court can instruct federal courts to ignore it? Hence, there is the problem.

Someone explain to me why it was that when Democrats had the power, in 2020-22, with majorities in both houses, that we did not take the advice progressives were giving, be a little bit bolder and riskier than the old status quo political games we still play, and packed the court by taking out the senate filibuster? We'd have been able to secure a court that could have overturned citizens united, slapped down every red state gerrymander from prior decades, saved Roe and kept Trump from delaying his insurrection trial.

And we're wondering why our poll numbers are sljpping.

walkingman

(9,576 posts)
7. Partisan Gerrymandering is illegal but because SCOTUS has changed their views
Mon Jul 21, 2025, 05:42 PM
16 hrs ago

on the "Voting Rights Act" in recent years, that is questionable...at best.

As someone that has lived in Texas since 1974, I don't think the Democratic Party has a prayer here. We have too many people that are not interested in even voting and those that do are consumed by religious issues like abortion and most have problems with gender identity.

Because it is such a large state with so many rural areas, it gives the majority party (GOP) to draw districts in weird shapes that picks off portions of the cities (predominately Democrats) into multiple districts and diminishes the power of the majority Democratic population of most of the cities.

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