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BumRushDaShow

(163,541 posts)
Wed Nov 19, 2025, 06:04 PM 17 hrs ago

After Sherrill's big win, Democrats eye Republican congressmembers in NJ

Source: WNYC New York, NY/Gothamist/NPR

Published Nov 19, 2025 at 6:31 a.m. ET


There’s a saying in politics: You’re never too far from the next election. Just two weeks after Democrat Mikie Sherrill’s resounding 14-point victory over Republican Jack Ciattarelli in this year’s governor’s race, her party is eyeing a few GOP seats it believes can be flipped in next year’s midterms.

Democrats’ prime target: Republican Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. He was first elected in 2022 after redistricting added 17,000 registered Republicans to the seventh district. But Sherrill won it by one point earlier this month. Now, Kean faces a growing field of well-funded challengers. And whoever emerges as the Democratic nominee is poised to have the backing of national organizations like the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

“Tom Kean should be worried,” said Matthew Hale, a politics professor at Seton Hall University. “The fact that so many [Democrats] are jumping in is because they sense vulnerability, and so they're lining up to take a shot.”

Rep. Jeff Van Drew may also be vulnerable. His South Jersey seat has long been a safe Republican stronghold. However, the most recent voter data indicates a shift to the left in the region. Sherrill turned five counties in the state from red to blue – three of them were in Van Drew’s district. Days after Sherrill’s win, Van Drew told Fox Business that if his party doesn’t deal with affordability issues like rising health care costs, Republicans will get “killed” in the 2026 midterms.

Read more: https://gothamist.com/news/after-sherrills-big-win-democrats-eye-republican-congressmembers-in-nj



Van Drew should be NUMBER ONE on the list. He fooled everyone by running as a Democrat, won, and then switched parties to become a MAGat loon.
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After Sherrill's big win, Democrats eye Republican congressmembers in NJ (Original Post) BumRushDaShow 17 hrs ago OP
I think time is another thing not on his side karynnj 17 hrs ago #1
Kean is definitely a "nepo baby" type of member BumRushDaShow 16 hrs ago #2

karynnj

(60,691 posts)
1. I think time is another thing not on his side
Wed Nov 19, 2025, 06:32 PM
17 hrs ago

I think he has been a rather lackluster Congressman given that he has the son and namesake of a well liked ( among Republicans and some independents) Republican governor.

The first time I heard much about him was when he ran against Menendez for the Senate seat. menendez had been appointed to it when Corzine went from the Senate to the governorship. He ran a nasty race and lost.

He has always gained some votes either because people thought the Thomas Kean Jr running was his dad or simply the goodwill that many had towards him because of his dad. Each election, a lower percent remember his dad all that much.

BumRushDaShow

(163,541 posts)
2. Kean is definitely a "nepo baby" type of member
Wed Nov 19, 2025, 07:14 PM
16 hrs ago

and I don't recall much of anything that he has spearheaded in Congress. Parts of his district are pink though, but I don't know how much those "horse country" constituents care as long as they can maintain a "status quo".

But that is still why I think Van Drew needs to be a serious target, considering his district had voted for him as a Democrat originally before he switched, and has been moving from red to pinkish - especially the 'burbs around the Atlantic County cities, shifting a bit further to the left, this past election, where the county itself went for Sherrill by 3% points.



(from here - https://www.newsweek.com/new-jersey-results-map-where-mikie-sherrill-won-election-10995383)

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