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applegrove

(134,214 posts)
Wed Jul 15, 2026, 09:15 PM 18 hrs ago

Analyst shares shocking effect of Graham Platner's exit on Dem chances to beat Susan Collins

Analyst shares shocking effect of Graham Platner’s exit on Dem chances to beat Susan Collins

Harry Enten shared the surprising poll numbers from before and after Platner dropped out.

Molly Sprayregen (She/Her)
July 15, 2026, 10:30 am EDT

https://www.lgbtqnation.com/2026/07/quick-hit-analyst-shares-shocking-effect-of-graham-platners-exit-on-dem-chances-to-beat-susan-collins/?fbclid=IwZnRzaATEfg5wZG9mAWZkaWQWUKlmNPOhyGQMlcDN17LrtUeMWRJYcGV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkCjY2Mjg1NjgzNzkAAR5PgcVT8FfEyHXDrTaKFHimrEKvd09hyWQuzZEVGGMwayB2PpfKfVHndGRI4Q_aem_m3WeNIN45NEfGtJt7Z6RNQ


Graham Platner | Campaign website
CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten shared surprising data showing that Democrats have an even greater chance of ousting incumbent Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) now that Graham Platner is out of the race.

Enten showed that on July 2, about a week before Platner dropped out and also before the sexual assault allegations against Platner were made public, Democrats had a 50 percent chance of winning the race. Now, polling shows they have a 63 percent chance.

“It is simply because Graham Platner was greatly underperforming the fundamentals in Maine,” Enten explained, demonstrating that Collins had a one-point advantage over Platner in the average poll, but that a generic Democrat, when positioned against a generic Republican, is up by 12 points. “And this was prior to the latest accusation against Platner,” Enten emphasized.

He said folks might assume this is merely because Collins is a strong candidate, but that polls show her popularity has actually been sinking.
22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Analyst shares shocking effect of Graham Platner's exit on Dem chances to beat Susan Collins (Original Post) applegrove 18 hrs ago OP
Apples and bricks, a "generic Democrat" is anyone you want it to be, and the corporate media Uncle Joe 17 hrs ago #1
Nay, I think it was the Nazi tattoo krawhitham 17 hrs ago #3
Tell that to the 72% of the electorate, and record breaking well over 150,000 Mainers who voted for Graham Platner, Uncle Joe 17 hrs ago #5
This message was self-deleted by its author Skittles 16 hrs ago #8
but rape IS something a nazi would approve of Skittles 15 hrs ago #9
You don't accuse someone of rape and "move on." Uncle Joe 14 hrs ago #11
you believe him, not her Skittles 12 hrs ago #13
He's definitely been accused of rape EdmondDantes_ 11 hrs ago #16
What she described was rape, even if she didn't use that word. eShirl 11 hrs ago #18
one factor for the high numbers being, unenrolled voters are now allowed to vote in primaries eShirl 11 hrs ago #17
Recommend! sheshe2 17 hrs ago #2
Progressives had anointed Boo1 17 hrs ago #4
He lost me at the Nazi tattoo Mr.Bee 4 hrs ago #21
The signs were there Boo1 4 hrs ago #22
Please Maine make a great choice this year. chicoescuela 17 hrs ago #6
Oddly enough, Graham Platner does not represent the Maine Democtatic Party. OAITW r.2.0 16 hrs ago #7
After the shooting...murder of Johan Sebastin Durn Guerrero sheshe2 14 hrs ago #12
Yep. Her chances just sank even further with that murder. GoodRaisin 12 hrs ago #14
Good riddance! sheshe2 12 hrs ago #15
Collins can thank PEDO, Miller, Cha 10 hrs ago #19
You are welcome, Cha. sheshe2 5 hrs ago #20
Yes, until an actual Democratic candidate is chosen BaronChocula 15 hrs ago #10

Uncle Joe

(66,186 posts)
1. Apples and bricks, a "generic Democrat" is anyone you want it to be, and the corporate media
Wed Jul 15, 2026, 09:24 PM
17 hrs ago

hasn't been trashing "generic Democrats" in Maine for well over a month.

Thanks for the thread applegrove

Uncle Joe

(66,186 posts)
5. Tell that to the 72% of the electorate, and record breaking well over 150,000 Mainers who voted for Graham Platner,
Wed Jul 15, 2026, 09:44 PM
17 hrs ago

despite all the corporate media trashing.

They have known about the tattoo because he spoke about it for months across the state at over 80+ town halls.

I think they were more impressed with his passion in arguing against an actual genocide taking place in Gaza with our tax dollar support.

Genocide being something a true Nazi would actually love to support.

Response to Uncle Joe (Reply #5)

Uncle Joe

(66,186 posts)
11. You don't accuse someone of rape and "move on."
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 12:25 AM
14 hrs ago

To my knowledge Graham Planter hasn't been accused of or charged with rape.

If you have evidence to the contrary present it.

If it's he said, she said, and you still accuse him of rape, then you're painting him as guilty until proven innocent., and he will carry that charge for the rest of his life.

EdmondDantes_

(2,404 posts)
16. He's definitely been accused of rape
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 03:34 AM
11 hrs ago

And given the very low number of false claims, he's very likely guilty. And that's before you get to his lifetime of mistreating women that he admits to, plus heavy drinking as a coping mechanism.

eShirl

(20,671 posts)
17. one factor for the high numbers being, unenrolled voters are now allowed to vote in primaries
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 03:47 AM
11 hrs ago

Boo1

(825 posts)
4. Progressives had anointed
Wed Jul 15, 2026, 09:40 PM
17 hrs ago

Platner as the Chosen One. They were sure he was the only person who could win because it fit their narrative that nobody wanted to vote for traditional Democrats. It's the same narrative that is being pushed all over the country.

Mr.Bee

(2,015 posts)
21. He lost me at the Nazi tattoo
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 10:28 AM
4 hrs ago

I would never vote for anyone with anything NAZI
or who says 'democrat party'.

Boo1

(825 posts)
22. The signs were there
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 10:46 AM
4 hrs ago

In big neon letters.

It was cult-like how people were brushing them aside.

chicoescuela

(3,428 posts)
6. Please Maine make a great choice this year.
Wed Jul 15, 2026, 10:06 PM
17 hrs ago

Should be a layup right?
Come to think of it, I choked a few layups in my day.
Be better than me

OAITW r.2.0

(33,070 posts)
7. Oddly enough, Graham Platner does not represent the Maine Democtatic Party.
Wed Jul 15, 2026, 11:09 PM
16 hrs ago

I will vote and support getting Sue term limited. Just like she ran on 30 years ago. I remember.

sheshe2

(99,325 posts)
12. After the shooting...murder of Johan Sebastin Durn Guerrero
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 12:41 AM
14 hrs ago

I feel that a ground swell is happening. The huge protests at Collins campaign office in a small town in Maine on a Monday, a workday for most.

“These people are killers and they must leave our state now,” organizer Todd Chretien told the gathering, including some who held signs reading “Stop the murder” and “End this terror.”


https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2026/07/14/many-questions-remain-after-an-ice-officers-fatal-shooting-of-a-maine-driver/

The first major gathering was at Mechanics Park in Biddeford, organized by Biddeford Saco for Racial Justice. Protesters held signs with anti-ICE messages such as “Abolish ICE Now,” “Stop the Murder,” and “ICE Out of Our Neighborhoods,” and some carried bullhorns shouting “ICE shot and killed a man in Biddeford! Murder! Murder!” AOL. The crowd marched toward the office of Republican U.S. Senator Susan Collins, chanting “Vote her out!” and banging on her office doors
-Yahoo

We stand with Maine.

Thank you, OAITW.

Cha

(321,851 posts)
19. Collins can thank PEDO, Miller,
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 04:47 AM
10 hrs ago

Mullins, and ICE. If she does lose to Patrois

Mahalo, she, for the Boston Globe article on Collins.






.

sheshe2

(99,325 posts)
20. You are welcome, Cha.
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 09:23 AM
5 hrs ago

I want her gone and I think we have a good chance to make that happen!

BaronChocula

(5,096 posts)
10. Yes, until an actual Democratic candidate is chosen
Thu Jul 16, 2026, 12:09 AM
15 hrs ago

The race will tighten up again after July 25th. All this means is that there's no one on which to currently to pass judgment on the Democratic side.

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