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mnmoderatedem

(3,914 posts)
Tue May 26, 2026, 09:00 PM 16 hrs ago

Looks like it's going to be Paxton in TX. How we feeling about this?


Easier for dems to gain that seat with Paxton the nominee, or sickened another trump leg humper gets the nod?
44 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Looks like it's going to be Paxton in TX. How we feeling about this? (Original Post) mnmoderatedem 16 hrs ago OP
Tolarico's chances of winning just went up biocube 16 hrs ago #1
Glad you think it will go well. I am reluctant to be optimistic. efhmc 16 hrs ago #2
Fair... Happy Hoosier 3 hrs ago #37
Do you live in Texas? hamsterjill 15 hrs ago #8
No, but I think there's a good reason senate R's got upset Trump endorsed him biocube 15 hrs ago #14
But Senate Republicans won't be voting in Texas in November. hamsterjill 15 hrs ago #17
Texas has broken our hearts before Bettie 14 hrs ago #19
Not by a lot. The polls I've seen do have Talarico up, but it's only a few percentage points mwmisses4289 3 hrs ago #28
No democrat in TX is going to win a major seat by a landslide pinkstarburst 1 hr ago #41
Add in his love off pedophiles, and dems might be able to squeak out a win. mwmisses4289 55 min ago #44
It's better for Talarico - TBF 16 hrs ago #3
Paxton is a creep and a criminal, he fits in his party perfectly Walleye 16 hrs ago #4
Cornyn is honestly a conservative, old line Republican. He made a bad mistake by cutting TACO too much slack ... marble falls 16 hrs ago #5
I'm kind of excited about the prospect of Talarico Texasgal 16 hrs ago #6
I think it's paxton by 6 points LuvLoogie 16 hrs ago #7
Excellent. Makes a Talarico win even more likely. Wiz Imp 15 hrs ago #9
Now that is interesting- this has texas as a toss up. mwmisses4289 3 hrs ago #31
Just another Trump mutant to get crushed in November! Frasier Balzov 15 hrs ago #10
I think it's good news Boo1 15 hrs ago #11
Cassidy, not Kennedy karynnj 3 hrs ago #33
Right Boo1 2 hrs ago #40
This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver 15 hrs ago #12
bluntly, I have zero confidence a Democratic candidate will be elected to governor in TX RT Atlanta 15 hrs ago #13
Abbott has done so much for the state of Texas. Autumn 4 hrs ago #25
that makes both of us.... RT Atlanta 3 hrs ago #36
He's running for senate pinkstarburst 1 hr ago #42
I'm with Paxton helping Talarico's chances. Liberal In Texas 15 hrs ago #15
I think the Democrats are slight favorites in the Senate election no matter the nominee AZProgressive 15 hrs ago #16
Cook political moved the race from likely Republican to lean Republican karynnj 3 hrs ago #32
Talarico is a Huge Underdog Aepps22 14 hrs ago #18
Talarico led in polls against both candidates. lees1975 13 hrs ago #20
Paxton can go shove his Fox / Trump bullshit straight up his ass! Initech 13 hrs ago #21
Better chance of winning - but a worse disaster (than Cornyn) if we don't win. n/t Ms. Toad 13 hrs ago #22
Still an uphill climb for Talarico. It is Texas after all. fujiyamasan 7 hrs ago #23
Saw a poll tracking account on Twitter biocube 4 hrs ago #24
Now that Cornyn has thrown his support for Paxton, sick. Emile 4 hrs ago #26
Fortunately, all his comments and ads of the runoff period exist karynnj 3 hrs ago #30
Doesn't matter, they both have the magic R. Emile 3 hrs ago #38
Turnout is the key. Low turnout gives us Paxton. Big turnout gives us Sen James Talarico. marble falls 4 hrs ago #27
Both and add in getting a worse Senator if Paxton wins karynnj 3 hrs ago #29
I really hope Talarico can defeat him Quiet Em 3 hrs ago #34
Real fucking good SSJVegeta 3 hrs ago #35
I don't give a fu@k anymore. kacekwl 2 hrs ago #39
Rehmet's upset victory in Feb. has provided clear hope for TX from my chair Torchlight 1 hr ago #43

hamsterjill

(17,786 posts)
8. Do you live in Texas?
Tue May 26, 2026, 09:16 PM
15 hrs ago

Honest question. I am not sure that Talarico's chances went up, but I hope to hell you are right. I'd agree with you anywhere but Texas.

I think Talarico is incredible and I cannot imagine anyone who sits in church on Sunday NOT thinking he's terrific, too. But the Evangelicals have already started the "he's a fake" campaign and they are spending a helluva lot of money.

Talarico is going to need to fight this shit head on, and I believe he is the man who can do it. But I refuse to get my hopes up and have them dashed. I'm gonna hope for the best and expect the worst until he's sworn in.

hamsterjill

(17,786 posts)
17. But Senate Republicans won't be voting in Texas in November.
Tue May 26, 2026, 10:14 PM
15 hrs ago

Texas is MAGA central. We have a bunch of absolutely DUMB idiots down here who will crawl on their bellies with their mouth breathing lungs hanging out to vote AGAINST someone who they have been made to believe thinks there are six sexes. They are being led to believe that Talarico has said that God is nonbinary (heaven forbid!!!!) and that he's (gasp!!!) a vegan.

The secret is going to be to convince all of Cornyn's supporters that Paxton is evil and Talarico is the only way to go. Again, I am hopeful and will be doing what I can to convince the Cornyn supporters that I know. But Texas does not go the way text books think it should. It is a special case and those of us who have lived the despair and let down and dashed hopes have learned not to count our proverbial chickens until they hatch.

Thanks for the exchange, welcome to DU, and have a great evening!!!

mwmisses4289

(4,775 posts)
28. Not by a lot. The polls I've seen do have Talarico up, but it's only a few percentage points
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:20 AM
3 hrs ago

(between 3-5% if i recall the last one correctly). I hope Talarico squeezes out a win, but this being texas, paxton may be the one who wins. We will see what happens come November.

pinkstarburst

(2,088 posts)
41. No democrat in TX is going to win a major seat by a landslide
Wed May 27, 2026, 11:21 AM
1 hr ago

If we win, it will be very close. Paxton is better to run against, though. He's crooked and an adulterer besides.

marble falls

(72,626 posts)
5. Cornyn is honestly a conservative, old line Republican. He made a bad mistake by cutting TACO too much slack ...
Tue May 26, 2026, 09:08 PM
16 hrs ago

... He got surprised how quickly TACO's support has left and left angry. He thought he could duck out at the last minute.

Texasgal

(17,246 posts)
6. I'm kind of excited about the prospect of Talarico
Tue May 26, 2026, 09:09 PM
16 hrs ago

taking it all! The race will be a mudsling, but in general I think Texans are tired. Including the most republicans.

We will see!

mwmisses4289

(4,775 posts)
31. Now that is interesting- this has texas as a toss up.
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:24 AM
3 hrs ago

Talarico up by 2.5%. Close, way too close.

Frasier Balzov

(5,113 posts)
10. Just another Trump mutant to get crushed in November!
Tue May 26, 2026, 09:51 PM
15 hrs ago

The battle line is being drawn in such high relief!

Boo1

(483 posts)
11. I think it's good news
Tue May 26, 2026, 09:53 PM
15 hrs ago

Talarico polls better against Paxton.

Also, nobody seems to be talking about Trump losing his Senate majority for all intents and purposes tonight. With Kennedy and Cornyn and 2 of his 52 votes he essentially doesn't have the votes to do anything now.

karynnj

(61,127 posts)
33. Cassidy, not Kennedy
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:32 AM
3 hrs ago

It is not clear he loses those Senators on most votes. Long before Trump, Cornyn was a conservative Senator who voted with the right.

Boo1

(483 posts)
40. Right
Wed May 27, 2026, 10:59 AM
2 hrs ago

I get those asshole confused sometimes.


The one thing stronger than partisanship is spite.

Response to mnmoderatedem (Original post)

RT Atlanta

(2,809 posts)
13. bluntly, I have zero confidence a Democratic candidate will be elected to governor in TX
Tue May 26, 2026, 10:00 PM
15 hrs ago

'they' really like abbot for some reason

Autumn

(49,025 posts)
25. Abbott has done so much for the state of Texas.
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:02 AM
4 hrs ago
I would love for someone from Texas to explain what he has done for them.


Liberal In Texas

(16,451 posts)
15. I'm with Paxton helping Talarico's chances.
Tue May 26, 2026, 10:06 PM
15 hrs ago

The repubs nominated another grifter whose moral compass has been missing for years. So many scandals to look at any one should have knocked him to the ditch years ago.

Then again, I thought it was good news when they nominated trumpf to run against Clinton. You just never know what the propaganda, the rubes and the russian interference will bring us.

AZProgressive

(30,000 posts)
16. I think the Democrats are slight favorites in the Senate election no matter the nominee
Tue May 26, 2026, 10:08 PM
15 hrs ago

Based on the national mood of the electorate. The nation is angry with the President and usually if that's the case the opposing party does well in the midterms. I think it will be worse for Republicans than it was in 2018 but it will be like that but people are more angry than before.

I mostly worry about Texas GOP voter suppression as that can affect close races in Texas.

karynnj

(61,127 posts)
32. Cook political moved the race from likely Republican to lean Republican
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:28 AM
3 hrs ago

The Republicans are favored, but it is possible with high Democratic turnout and because Talarico is an outstanding candidate.

It could happen, after all Scott Brown won the seat Ted Kennedy had in Massachusetts where a Democratic win would be expected.

Aepps22

(415 posts)
18. Talarico is a Huge Underdog
Tue May 26, 2026, 10:35 PM
14 hrs ago

Let’s be real about Texas and what they’re all about. Paxton is slightly easier to beat than John but this is the same state that keeps electing scum like Abbot and Ted. They vote R no matter what. James will need to shore up the Black vote and hope that all of his Hispanic and White supporters not only show up but also encourage their Republican family members and friends to either stay at home, vote third party or vote for James.

lees1975

(7,202 posts)
20. Talarico led in polls against both candidates.
Tue May 26, 2026, 11:20 PM
13 hrs ago

We must get turnout, that's the key. There aren't more Republicans than Democrats in Texas, the Democrats have just not been turning out for a while. They need to now.

fujiyamasan

(2,075 posts)
23. Still an uphill climb for Talarico. It is Texas after all.
Wed May 27, 2026, 05:54 AM
7 hrs ago

But I think Talarico has a chance here, given the national mood.

biocube

(275 posts)
24. Saw a poll tracking account on Twitter
Wed May 27, 2026, 08:50 AM
4 hrs ago

Showing Talarico up by 7 over Paxton with Gregg Abott up by 4.

karynnj

(61,127 posts)
30. Fortunately, all his comments and ads of the runoff period exist
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:23 AM
3 hrs ago

All a Democrat has to remind his neighbor is Cornyn said .....

Emile

(43,380 posts)
38. Doesn't matter, they both have the magic R.
Wed May 27, 2026, 10:07 AM
3 hrs ago

But, I sure hope Paxton gets his ass beat.

karynnj

(61,127 posts)
29. Both and add in getting a worse Senator if Paxton wins
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:21 AM
3 hrs ago

Though I never imagined I would compare Cornym positively to any one other than Cruz. Paxton is a worse human being than Cruz!

Quiet Em

(3,038 posts)
34. I really hope Talarico can defeat him
Wed May 27, 2026, 09:43 AM
3 hrs ago

I don't care if it's by a five vote margin, I just want Talarico to win.

It's a six year term. I don't want to be subjected to racist, sexist creep Paxton for six freaking years.

kacekwl

(9,272 posts)
39. I don't give a fu@k anymore.
Wed May 27, 2026, 10:52 AM
2 hrs ago

The simple fact that Republicans have more than 2% of the country that votes for any of them makes me ill. Nuff said.

Torchlight

(7,081 posts)
43. Rehmet's upset victory in Feb. has provided clear hope for TX from my chair
Wed May 27, 2026, 11:26 AM
1 hr ago

In a solid red district, an unknown speaking to policy rather than noise pulled in non-voters and independents at a rate that should alarm the rank and file TX conservatives.

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