General Discussion

Pototan

(3,205 posts) Sat May 9, 2026, 04:36 PM 1 hr ago

Democrats will still win the House

First of all, the few African American districts in the South being chopped up and eliminated is an outright disgrace.

Having said that, those racist maneuvers by the Trump wing of the Republican party will not result in the Republicans holding the House majority.

I still see a minimum of 231 seats in the Democratic column. Every district that the Republicans hold that was Trump plus 12 or less is in jeopardy and will most likely flip.

That's my evaluation.

8 replies

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Democrats will still win the House (Original Post) Pototan 1 hr ago OP

40 seat cushion would have been nice, but 20 will do. aeromanKC 1 hr ago #1

There are 7 states (at least) where voter caging will be rampant due to intentional purging of voter rolls lostnfound 1 hr ago #2

I agree Bluestocking 1 hr ago #3

Thank you - I've been wondering about that. How about the Senate? kerry-is-my-prez 1 hr ago #4

Flip of a coin. time will tell Pototan 44 min ago #7

I admire your optimism Chasstev365 1 hr ago #5

How do you explain all the off year wins so far? Pototan 45 min ago #6

My problem is that JBTaurus83 31 min ago #8

aeromanKC

(3,957 posts)

1. 40 seat cushion would have been nice, but 20 will do.

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat May 9, 2026, 04:38 PM

1 hr ago

🌊

lostnfound

(17,605 posts)

2. There are 7 states (at least) where voter caging will be rampant due to intentional purging of voter rolls

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat May 9, 2026, 04:58 PM

1 hr ago

All eyes are on the federal bill that was proposed but there are state level equivalent bills that have been turned into law in multiple states.
This will be the big story after the election (if we actually had a free press, of course).

Bluestocking

(771 posts)

3. I agree

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat May 9, 2026, 05:00 PM

1 hr ago

I think the Repugs are depending on republican voters from the past that are either going to stay home or vote Democratic. Dividing up the black vote actually might increase the number of Democratic victories.

kerry-is-my-prez

(10,329 posts)

4. Thank you - I've been wondering about that. How about the Senate?

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat May 9, 2026, 05:03 PM

1 hr ago

Pototan

(3,205 posts)

7. Flip of a coin. time will tell

Reply to kerry-is-my-prez (Reply #4)

Sat May 9, 2026, 05:47 PM

44 min ago

Chasstev365

(8,074 posts)

5. I admire your optimism

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat May 9, 2026, 05:22 PM

1 hr ago

However, I feel the powers that be are never going to allow Democrats to retain power ever again.

Pototan

(3,205 posts)

6. How do you explain all the off year wins so far?

Reply to Chasstev365 (Reply #5)

Sat May 9, 2026, 05:46 PM

45 min ago

They have a structural advantage, but the tide is too high.

A 50 foot wall can't hold back a 200-foot wave.

JBTaurus83

(1,648 posts)

8. My problem is that

Reply to Pototan (Original post)

Sat May 9, 2026, 06:01 PM

31 min ago

The structural advantage of the GOP just gets larger and larger. It was already hard for Dems to win the house, now it will be even harder to win or keep it. The Senate also favors the GOP given that every fly over state gets 2 senators even when about 10 people live there. I think Dump is so unpopular now, that we will probably take the house, but, they are going to try literally every trick in the book. I don’t know how this can be called a fair election or democracy when a majority vote does not necessarily change the government.

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