it'll definitely clip Trump's wings a bit.

We'd also be winning by a nice large margin in the House at that point.

I expect Ohio and Texas to be the tipping point states. Alaska, NC, and ME will be Democratic. GA, MI, and NH will be held.

If we win in Nebraska, Montana, or Iowa it'll be a lovely evening.

As predicted they are swiftboating Talarico's Christianity. Mainly because he's a progressive Christian and Texas is like Hegseth versus the Pope Leo. They're basically calling Talarico a "new age satanic pagan".

Sec. Hegseth is calling for a schism and an avignon papacy. Nothing screams Catholicism like a nice antipope.

Ain't it funny how we finally get a good ol' 'mericun Pope and he's too woke for the war?


Also -- to your point about Texas, yeah. I don't know. I think the odds of the Democrats winning 51 seats in the Senate is very unlikely. Not impossible, but I think that IF THAT WERE TO HAPPEN, that would be the sort of election where we win in Texas. Just given how the polling has been looking and the dynamics of the race.

I don't for example seeing us winning Montana before we win Texas. But if we win Montana, we will be winning Texas too.

Senate majority leader?
Warnock?

Unless he’s got other plans for 2028…

I would like to see change in leadership.

If we win the Senate, I think this is very unlikely. I don't know how often leadership gets punished for having a winning election.

I'd be more interested to the see the fate of John Thune and Mike Johnson and whether their caucus jettisons them. I think that Thune has the strongly claim for the party to incentivize his outster, but he is probably insulated by senatorial camaraderie. I don't know what Mike Johnson would do in the minority. He has so thoroughly subjugated his coequal-ness that I doubt he'd be an effective minority leader. I bet he quits in disgrace.

And our chances of retaking the Senate improve.

Haven’t heard of that one.

Not enough to do anything, but she's very concerned.

and with the likely nominees--

and if the farmers in Iowa are angry enough over tariffs and losing their labor
because of unreasonable "immigration enforcement", then it could easily be "in play" also---

A year ago I would not have said either thing, but T.A.F.U.
(Trump always fucks up!)

I have high hopes for another 2006-ish 'double-flip' victory in the midterms!

There's no "sailing against the wind" (Ted Kennedy) THIS year,
the 'wind' is definitely at our backs!!!! Democrats are angry AND voting!!!

---- and the windy orange demented fuhrer NEVER knows when to 'shut the fuck up'!
(probably a very popular prayer among GQP office-holders, right about now
is to ask that he would....)

I think Cornyn will likely win the GOP primary. He's been at this for 25 years now......MAGA didn't do as well as predicted in the GOP primaries this time.


Texas is too religious. And by that, they consider Talarico to be "satanic, an antichrist, and a heretic"...I'm serious...that's what they're saying....

If we win Iowa, we are in such a powerful position - political narratively speaking - that we must take immediate action against ICE, tariffs, etc. Even if we will get vetoed. The voters invested into us power again and we should immediately show them that we recognize the responsibility.

But Sullivan is a massive jackhole, so maybe.

Ohio would be stunning too.

Peltola already won statewide and seems to be popular.

They've elected Democratic governors and Senators in the past. They are impossible to poll, impossible to campaign in, and heavily reliant on services Trump et al. cut directly.

Murkowski is a kind of unicorn, but she's failed many times. She is significantly worse than Manchin or Fetterman, but cognitive biases raise her stock in my eyes.