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SSJVegeta

(2,061 posts)
Thu Nov 13, 2025, 07:17 PM Nov 13

If Aftyn Behn wins the special election in TN...

Itll put the Dem caucus at 216 seats after the TX special election is completed.

That would give a firm 218 seats to Democrats plus MTG and Massie. Without an actual Dem majority, would that do anything?

Would it make any difference overall if we have a firm majority potentially hellbent on finding justice for Epstein victims ? 😒 🤔


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If Aftyn Behn wins the special election in TN... (Original Post) SSJVegeta Nov 13 OP
What are the odds sabbat hunter Nov 13 #1
The TX seat is a runoff in a deep blue TX district. So that one is almost guaranteed SSJVegeta Nov 13 #2

sabbat hunter

(7,061 posts)
1. What are the odds
Thu Nov 13, 2025, 07:27 PM
Nov 13

that the Dems win both those seats?
Having 216 seats will do nothing for us. We need a true majority, and Johnson out of the Speaker chair.

SSJVegeta

(2,061 posts)
2. The TX seat is a runoff in a deep blue TX district. So that one is almost guaranteed
Thu Nov 13, 2025, 07:30 PM
Nov 13

The TN seat is about +10-20 GOP leaning but in this environment it could be a tossup. My guess: a 30-40% chance of flipping Dem maybe?

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