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Polybius

(19,904 posts)
Wed May 14, 2025, 01:46 PM Yesterday

No Party has won back-to-back Presidential elections since 2008/2012

In the past four consecutive Presidential elections, here are the winning Parties:

2012: Democrat
2016: Republican
2020: Democrat
2024 Republican

Exactly how rare is this in American history? If we win in 2028, it will grow to five.

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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No Party has won back-to-back Presidential elections since 2008/2012 (Original Post) Polybius Yesterday OP
And this history is totally irrelevant NoRethugFriends 23 hrs ago #1
No it isn't. everyonematters 20 hrs ago #3
Where do you get 40 percent ? JI7 20 hrs ago #4
This according to Gallup. everyonematters 20 hrs ago #5
Most consistently vote the same party. JI7 19 hrs ago #6
They are more likely to cross over or not vote at all. everyonematters 19 hrs ago #7
None of that changes the overall results JI7 19 hrs ago #8
I think we need more people to believe in the Democratic Party and register as Democrats. everyonematters 19 hrs ago #9
That's not going to happen unless Democrats become tougher on immigration JI7 19 hrs ago #10
I agree that we need to convince voters that we are going to secure the Southern border and keep them safe. everyonematters 19 hrs ago #12
As a matter of trivia: unblock 23 hrs ago #2
Thank the M$M for building Trump and enabling him uponit7771 19 hrs ago #11

everyonematters

(3,784 posts)
3. No it isn't.
Wed May 14, 2025, 04:56 PM
20 hrs ago

It goes with the fact that 40% of the electorate are neither Democrat or Republican with many of the voters, in their minds, are voting between the lesser of two evils. That' why we are trading elections with the Republicans.

JI7

(91,880 posts)
4. Where do you get 40 percent ?
Wed May 14, 2025, 05:01 PM
20 hrs ago

Most vote the same party regardless of party registration.

It's a small number that goes back and forth or doesn't vote. But with elections being as close as they are these small movements can make a difference in who wins.

everyonematters

(3,784 posts)
5. This according to Gallup.
Wed May 14, 2025, 05:17 PM
20 hrs ago

Overall in 2021, an average of 29% of Americans identified as Democrats, 27% as Republicans and 42% as independents. Roughly equal proportions of independents leaned to the Democratic Party (17%) and to the Republican Party (16%).

Polls show that many voters are disillusioned with both of the major parties. If that wasn't the case, then why are we trading elections with the Republicans.

JI7

(91,880 posts)
6. Most consistently vote the same party.
Wed May 14, 2025, 06:11 PM
19 hrs ago

doesn't matter if they want to pretend they are above it all because they register as independent.

everyonematters

(3,784 posts)
7. They are more likely to cross over or not vote at all.
Wed May 14, 2025, 06:21 PM
19 hrs ago

According to a recent Yougov poll:
approval of Democrats in Congress 33% with independents 21%
approval of Republicans in Congress 36% with independents 23%

JI7

(91,880 posts)
8. None of that changes the overall results
Wed May 14, 2025, 06:27 PM
19 hrs ago

Elections have been close and that's why the party has changed each election in recent years.

Elections are coming down to a few states.

It will be tougher to win against someone that won like Reagan did in a landslide than someone that won in a close election.

everyonematters

(3,784 posts)
9. I think we need more people to believe in the Democratic Party and register as Democrats.
Wed May 14, 2025, 06:39 PM
19 hrs ago

If we don't accomplish that, we are going to continue to trade elections with the Republicans and fail to accomplish goals such as reversing income inequality and expanding affordable health care.

JI7

(91,880 posts)
10. That's not going to happen unless Democrats become tougher on immigration
Wed May 14, 2025, 06:41 PM
19 hrs ago

and crime.

everyonematters

(3,784 posts)
12. I agree that we need to convince voters that we are going to secure the Southern border and keep them safe.
Wed May 14, 2025, 06:42 PM
19 hrs ago

unblock

(55,103 posts)
2. As a matter of trivia:
Wed May 14, 2025, 02:26 PM
23 hrs ago

1880: Garfield/Arthur - r
1884: Cleveland - d
1888: Harrison - r
1892: Cleveland - d
1896: McKinley - r

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